China (and Russia) will win
In season seven of the Game of Thrones, John Snow begs all the sides of the Seven Kingdoms to put away their differences to prepare for the coming war with the White Walkers.
He knows that humanity is doomed if they don’t unite because they’re unprepared for the war about to happen.
Hold that thought.
Many historians don’t consider World War I and World War II as two separate things – at least not in Europe.
For them, it was one long war of modernization and ethno-racial underpinnings, with Germany at the center:
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- In WW1, because the Second Reich of Germany came about as the result of the breakdown of the old-world order of empires (German, Austro‑Hungarian, Ottoman, Russian), while…
- In WW2, just 21 years later, Germany was still smarting over its defeat in WW1 and the subsequent humiliation of The Treaty of Versailles, and it was a chance to show the world that WW1 was just fluke – that didn’t work out.
It’s only by seeing the big picture that you realize what is really happening.
While most of sane people in the world, and here in the US, see the downfall of the American Empire under Trump, which is accurate, I see that but it’s more than that.
A lot more.
If the US and the EU/NATO do become adversaries, then China – and, to a lesser extent, Russia – wins.
It might not happen tomorrow, but it’s definitely gonna happen.
That’s the last thing anyone wants.
I said it before: I love being Chinese but hate the government of China.
It was and is evil.
And a war is coming, in one form or another, hot or cold. But it’s coming if it’s not here already.
Yes, Russia is evil and dangerous but it’s not the danger that China is.
You have no idea how dangerous China is.
Because China is dangerous in ways you couldn’t imagine.
100 years ago, in 1926, China was…nuthin.
It was in the middle of (multiple) civil wars, called the Warlord Era (1916–1928). This was after the Opium War and the downfall of the Qing dynasty.
There was no unified national army, no cohesive economic strategy, no real industry of any sort, outside of large agrarian areas predominantly used to feed their own people.
It was a whole lotta, well, like I said, nuthin.
The Western powers – plus fucking Japan – controlled all the ports, legal, banking, customs, and tariffs – everything was in the hands of someone else.
100 years later, in 2026, China has the largest trade surplus in the world, reaching roughly $1.2 trillion in 2025 — the largest number EVER in human history, recorded by any country.
Think about that.
To go from a backward nuthin nation of warlords under the thumbs of everyone to a the nuclear-powered creditor nation in four generations.
That’s mindboggling.
In fact, just 24 years after the warlord period of China, China was already showing the world how quickly it learned how to use soft power in Korea – essentially handing the US the first of many defeats in Asia.
China did it again, just four years later with the Vietnam War.
Then the USSR/Russia attacked a weakened China in 1969 and should have destroyed them, but it didn’t, even with superior firepower and tech.
Culturally, the Chinese are quiet – we watch and learn. And we think.
If it wasn’t for the fact that the Chinese government is absolutely brutal against its own people and regularly threaten Taiwan, a country I love deeply, I’d admire and be proud of these facts.
But, just like here, the country is in the hands of the selfishly evil and the populous is too brainwashed or too fettered to do anything about it.
That’s what the West is up against.
But with Trump pissing off all its allies to line his own pockets so, because half of my countrymen are imbeciles, there is no unified front against China.
The united west lost the first two rounds when it was fighting China by proxy.
Fractured? The West is screwed.
If there’s a true cold war against China – and really, that’s the only war that’s possible between two nuclear empires – Donny’s barely able to play checkers against some chess grandmasters and we’ve got zero friends to help us.
That’s not good. None of this is good.
Now, I hate China because of how it treats its people. Which is to say, I hate China because of how it treats the Chinese.
Then again, the US isn’t treating its people all that well either, lately, now that I think about it.
Me: Congrats on becoming a parent! It’s tough but awesome.
Him: Any advice?
Me: Yeah, have her learn how to fight, learn how to manage her money, and learn how to speak Mandarin.
Him: (laughing) Why Mandarin?
Me: OK, so in 1926…
Location: my lightly flooded apartment, yay…
Mood: still pretty fucking upset
Music: an enemy to all mankind, the thought of war blows my mind (Spotify)
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